The financial solutions highlighted in this report, together with policy recommendations, have the potential to demonstrate how the required finance can be unlocked to accelerate the transition to zero-emission road freight and ensure the UK meets its Net Zero ambitions.

The freight and logistics sector contributed £127 billion to the UK economy in 2022 and is a critical element of UK supply chains. Road freight plays a key role, with around 89% of all goods in the UK being moved directly by road.
Heavy Goods Vehicles (HGVs) i.e. vehicles over 7.5 tonnes, covered 19.5 billion kilometres in the UK in 2022 and today, almost all of these vehicles are diesel powered. Consequently, HGVs represent a significant proportion of the UK’s road greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and the sector must decarbonise if the UK is to meet its Net Zero targets.
Adopting these new technologies poses significant challenges to HGV operators, the needs of whom must be considered and addressed if the transition is to be successful. The challenge of making these changes in an industry where operating margins are slim is not insignificant. An estimated £100 billion of investment will be required, delivered through collaboration between the public and private sectors. There is limited time remaining, as many HGV operators in the UK have just one more cycle of replacing their fleet before the diesel truck end of sales dates, which means many are making decisions now that will impact the speed at which they are able to decarbonise in the future.
To help mobilise the capital required, the Green Finance Institute (GFI) brought together global experts from finance, freight and logistics, and energy sectors, with leading thinkers from academia and non-profit organisations as well as local and central government, to focus on unlocking the barriers to financing decarbonisation of the HGV sector.
The speed at which the sector can decarbonise will vary depending on the type of vehicle, the job it performs, and the duty cycle. The UK Government has committed to end the sale of new diesel non-zero-emission HGVs weighing 26 tonnes and under by 2035, with all new HGVs sold in the UK needing to be zero-emission at the exhaust from 2040. This is in addition to the pledge for 30% of all heavy duty vehicles sold in the UK (including coaches and buses) to be zero-emission by 2030.
The barriers facing operators are many and varied, so there is no silver bullet solution; a range of approaches will be needed. The financial solutions highlighted in this report, together with policy recommendations, have the potential to demonstrate how the required finance can be unlocked to accelerate the transition to zero-emission road freight and ensure the UK meets its Net Zero ambitions.
Barriers
There are a number of barriers to transitioning to zero-emission trucks (ZETs) and installing infrastructure from the perspective of vehicle operators and charging infrastructure installers:
- High capital cost of vehicles: Battery electric trucks are generally at least 2-3 times more expensive than diesel equivalents, and hydrogen trucks are even more expensive. Whilst costs are expected to fall (price parity is generally expected by 2030 across the majority of use cases), this upfront price premium can be partially overcome by taking into account the lower running costs. To accelerate this process, further intervention is required, particularly to support small- and medium-sized operators to access the additional capital required.
- Lack of infrastructure: Infrastructure will need to be built to enable ZETs to either recharge or refuel. Operators will need to install charge points in depots, and some public infrastructure will also be required, particularly to facilitate long-haul operations. There are also currently no hydrogen truck refuelling stations in the UK. The key challenges in building this infrastructure are upgrading the distribution network, and cost: by 2050, between £11 billion and £24 billion will be needed for depot infrastructure, and £1 billion to £2 billion for public infrastructure.
- Vehicle suitability and availability: ZET technology is still not suitable for some operations, especially those which require ancillary equipment. Across the majority of existing OEMs, production levels are currently low and lead times can be long.
- Technology uncertainty: Debate continues around whether hydrogen fuel cell or battery electric technology will “win” the race, which is delaying operators from making the switch. In reality, there is no one technology which will be suitable for all use cases and both technologies will have a role to play, depending on the vehicle use case.
- Impact on operations: Adopting new technologies may require changes to day to day operations, including changes to route planning and downtime scheduling, or use of different types of vehicles.